Ranking index / 10The 25 Jobs Least Likely to Be Replaced by AIBrowse rankings
Research series 01Completed September 2, 2026Method v1.2

2026 consensus ranking

The 25 Jobs Least Likely to Be Replaced by AI

Rank occupations by how unlikely they are to be fully replaced by AI and automation over the next 20 years. Consider the need for physical presence or dexterity in unpredictable environments, human trust and empathy, personal accountability, complex judgment, original creativity, relationship-building, and economic resistance to automation. Evaluate resistance to full occupational replacement, not whether AI will change or assist the work. Use broad, recognizable occupation names and exclude roles whose resilience depends only on current technical limitations.

Top results at a glance

Firefighter ranks first in 2026.

It earns an AI Consensus Score of 94.0 across 9 scoring samples. Clergy Member and Judge complete the top three.

  1. 01Firefighter94.0
  2. 02Clergy Member91.0
  3. 03Judge91.0
  4. 04Elected Official90.0
  5. 05Paramedic90.0
  6. 06Clinical Psychologist89.0
  7. 07Electrician89.0
  8. 08Emergency Medical Technician89.0
  9. 09Funeral Director89.0
  10. 10Police Officer89.0
Year-over-year

Baseline edition

Starting point

The first published edition uses methodology v1.2, 30 initial candidates per provider, three active providers, and a requested list length of 20.

Ranking lens

Consensus order · every score remains visible

01of 20

Firefighter

Models aligned · 3.0 spread

Firefighters work amid extreme physical chaos: unstable structures, hazards, distressed people, and conditions that demand coordinated rescue in real time. Life-or-death judgment, public trust, and clear human accountability make full replacement exceptionally unlikely, even though AI and machines can strengthen detection, planning, and equipment.

Score detail and model IDs
OpenAIgpt-5.6-terra
S194
S294
S394
median94.0
Anthropicclaude-sonnet-5
S195
S292
S390
median92.0
Geminigemini-3.5-flash-lite
S195
S295
S396
median95.0
Consensus
OpenAI
Anthropic
Gemini
02of 20

Clergy Member

Models aligned · 2.0 spread

Clergy members derive their value from spiritually credible human presence, pastoral care, ritual leadership, and long-built community relationships. AI can generate sermons or provide informational support, but it cannot straightforwardly inherit a congregation's trust or moral and spiritual legitimacy.

Score detail and model IDs
OpenAIgpt-5.6-terra
S191
S290
S393
median91.0
Anthropicclaude-sonnet-5
S190
S290
S388
median90.0
Geminigemini-3.5-flash-lite
S192
S293
S390
median92.0
Consensus
OpenAI
Anthropic
Gemini
03of 20

Judge

Controversial13.0 pt split

Judges exercise state-backed authority over disputes where legal interpretation, ethical judgment, due process, and accountability matter as much as analytical accuracy. AI may substantially assist research and routine decisions, but a fully automated judiciary faces a central legitimacy problem: people may not accept an unaccountable system as the final human arbiter. This role drew more skepticism than similarly ranked occupations because some judicial tasks are highly structured and automatable.

Score detail and model IDs
OpenAIgpt-5.6-terra
S192
S289
S391
median91.0
Anthropicclaude-sonnet-5
S193
S292
S386
median92.0
Geminigemini-3.5-flash-lite
S179
S285
S376
median79.0
Consensus
OpenAI
Anthropic
Gemini
04of 20

Elected Official

Models aligned · 6.0 spread

Elected officials are not merely decision-makers; they are human representatives chosen to express constituents' interests, values, and consent. AI can inform policy, messaging, and administration, but cannot easily replace the democratic mandate, relationship-building, persuasion, and electoral accountability that define the office. The main caveat is that much of the surrounding political work is readily augmentable or automatable.

Score detail and model IDs
OpenAIgpt-5.6-terra
S196
S296
S396
median96.0
Anthropicclaude-sonnet-5
S192
S290
S384
median90.0
Geminigemini-3.5-flash-lite
S190
S294
S388
median90.0
Consensus
OpenAI
Anthropic
Gemini
05of 20

Paramedic

Models aligned · 5.0 spread

Paramedics must deliver tactile emergency care and rapid clinical judgment in uncontrolled, dangerous settings, while reassuring patients and coordinating with others under pressure. The combination of physical intervention, uncertainty, patient trust, and responsibility for immediate outcomes makes complete replacement unlikely, though AI could improve triage and decision support.

Score detail and model IDs
OpenAIgpt-5.6-terra
S193
S292
S393
median93.0
Anthropicclaude-sonnet-5
S193
S290
S388
median90.0
Geminigemini-3.5-flash-lite
S188
S290
S388
median88.0
Consensus
OpenAI
Anthropic
Gemini
06of 20

Clinical Psychologist

Models aligned · 9.0 spread

Clinical psychologists rely on a durable therapeutic relationship, nuanced understanding of a person's life and behavior, and accountable diagnosis and treatment judgment. AI may be useful for screening, documentation, and structured support, but fully replacing a trusted clinician in sensitive mental-health care remains difficult. The lower assessment of resilience reflects the possibility that some talk-based and assessment tasks can shift heavily toward AI.

Score detail and model IDs
OpenAIgpt-5.6-terra
S189
S286
S390
median89.0
Anthropicclaude-sonnet-5
S188
S285
S385
median85.0
Geminigemini-3.5-flash-lite
S193
S295
S394
median94.0
Consensus
OpenAI
Anthropic
Gemini
07of 20

Electrician

Models aligned · 9.0 spread

Electricians diagnose and repair hazardous, site-specific electrical problems in varied buildings, often working around legacy systems and awkward physical constraints. Fine manipulation, safety responsibility, and licensed accountability make the trade resistant to full replacement. The key drawback is that standardized installations and portions of troubleshooting are more automatable than the headline score might suggest.

Score detail and model IDs
OpenAIgpt-5.6-terra
S189
S284
S389
median89.0
Anthropicclaude-sonnet-5
S181
S279
S385
median81.0
Geminigemini-3.5-flash-lite
S190
S290
S391
median90.0
Consensus
OpenAI
Anthropic
Gemini
08of 20

Emergency Medical Technician

Models aligned · 4.0 spread

Emergency medical technicians provide hands-on stabilization and triage in unpredictable pre-hospital emergencies, where conditions change quickly and patients need immediate reassurance. Physical care, field judgment, and high-stakes accountability strongly resist full occupational replacement, even as AI improves dispatch, monitoring, and protocols.

Score detail and model IDs
OpenAIgpt-5.6-terra
S191
S290
S391
median91.0
Anthropicclaude-sonnet-5
S190
S287
S387
median87.0
Geminigemini-3.5-flash-lite
S189
S290
S387
median89.0
Consensus
OpenAI
Anthropic
Gemini
09of 20

Funeral Director

Models aligned · 9.0 spread

Funeral directors combine sensitive bereavement support with family trust, cultural and religious judgment, ritual coordination, and physical logistics. Families are likely to continue wanting a responsible human presence during death and grief. Still, much scheduling, paperwork, and coordination can be automated, making this less secure than roles defined by acute physical or legal authority.

Score detail and model IDs
OpenAIgpt-5.6-terra
S187
S289
S390
median89.0
Anthropicclaude-sonnet-5
S178
S282
S380
median80.0
Geminigemini-3.5-flash-lite
S190
S289
S384
median89.0
Consensus
OpenAI
Anthropic
Gemini
10of 20

Police Officer

Models aligned · 6.0 spread

Police officers confront volatile, unpredictable public situations requiring physical presence, de-escalation, discretion, and accountable use of legal authority. AI can assist with analysis and reporting, but delegating coercive power and split-second force decisions entirely to machines would face major trust and legitimacy barriers. The role's resilience depends partly on social acceptance of human authority, not just task difficulty.

Score detail and model IDs
OpenAIgpt-5.6-terra
S191
S288
S391
median91.0
Anthropicclaude-sonnet-5
S188
S285
S385
median85.0
Geminigemini-3.5-flash-lite
S188
S292
S389
median89.0
Consensus
OpenAI
Anthropic
Gemini
11of 20

Psychotherapist

Models aligned · 7.0 spread

Psychotherapists depend on a confidential therapeutic alliance, emotional attunement, and nuanced judgment about vulnerable clients. AI may serve as a supplement or a lower-intensity support option, but it has a harder time fully replacing the trusted, accountable human relationship at the center of therapy. Views differ because much of the work is conversational and therefore exposed to capable AI systems.

Score detail and model IDs
OpenAIgpt-5.6-terra
S189
S285
S390
median89.0
Anthropicclaude-sonnet-5
S194
S288
S385
median88.0
Geminigemini-3.5-flash-lite
S194
S296
S395
median95.0
Consensus
OpenAI
Anthropic
Gemini
12of 20

Social Worker

Models aligned · 5.0 spread

Social workers navigate messy family, community, and institutional realities while advocating for vulnerable people and making ethically consequential judgments. Trust-building, in-person intervention, and statutory accountability make full replacement unlikely. Administrative casework and standardized assessments, however, offer substantial room for automation.

Score detail and model IDs
OpenAIgpt-5.6-terra
S190
S287
S389
median89.0
Anthropicclaude-sonnet-5
S184
S280
S385
median84.0
Geminigemini-3.5-flash-lite
S190
S288
S389
median89.0
Consensus
OpenAI
Anthropic
Gemini
13of 20

Midwife

Models aligned · 6.0 spread

Midwives provide intimate hands-on childbirth care in a process that can change rapidly, requiring clinical judgment, physical skill, emotional reassurance, and family trust. Automation can support monitoring and decision-making, but replacing the responsible human practitioner during birth is a much higher bar.

Score detail and model IDs
OpenAIgpt-5.6-terra
S193
S293
S393
median93.0
Anthropicclaude-sonnet-5
S189
S288
S385
median88.0
Geminigemini-3.5-flash-lite
S187
S288
S386
median87.0
Consensus
OpenAI
Anthropic
Gemini
14of 20

Plumber

Controversial12.0 pt split

Plumbers work in irregular, cramped, and often aging physical environments where diagnosis and repair require spatial reasoning, tactile dexterity, and adaptation to what is actually behind the wall or under the floor. The economics of deploying versatile robots across scattered homes and buildings also favor human workers for a long time. The main limitation is that the work has relatively little relational or creative protection, and standardized jobs could automate first.

Score detail and model IDs
OpenAIgpt-5.6-terra
S188
S282
S388
median88.0
Anthropicclaude-sonnet-5
S180
S278
S385
median80.0
Geminigemini-3.5-flash-lite
S192
S292
S392
median92.0
Consensus
OpenAI
Anthropic
Gemini
15of 20

Psychiatrist

Models aligned · 5.0 spread

Psychiatrists combine complex mental-health evaluation and therapeutic trust with medical authority and personal accountability for prescribing and treatment. AI can aid assessment, monitoring, and clinical decision support, but full replacement is constrained by high-stakes judgment and the need for a trusted clinician to own treatment decisions. Some routine diagnostic and medication-management work is nevertheless especially open to automation.

Score detail and model IDs
OpenAIgpt-5.6-terra
S188
S287
S388
median88.0
Anthropicclaude-sonnet-5
S190
S286
S386
median86.0
Geminigemini-3.5-flash-lite
S191
S291
S392
median91.0
Consensus
OpenAI
Anthropic
Gemini
16of 20

Psychologist

Models aligned · 8.0 spread

Psychologists are highly resistant to full replacement because therapy and assessment rest on a trusted human relationship, nuanced judgment, empathy, and licensed ethical accountability. AI can support screening, documentation, and structured interventions, but replacing the therapeutic alliance and responsibility for consequential care is a much higher bar.

Score detail and model IDs
OpenAIgpt-5.6-terra
S188
S284
S389
median88.0
Anthropicclaude-sonnet-5
S188
S285
S385
median85.0
Geminigemini-3.5-flash-lite
S193
S295
S393
median93.0
Consensus
OpenAI
Anthropic
Gemini
17of 20

Home Health Aide

Controversial14.0 pt split

Home health aides combine intimate hands-on assistance with companionship and trust in highly variable private homes—conditions that make full automation difficult. The main vulnerability is strong cost pressure to automate pieces of routine care, but safely handling unpredictable environments and vulnerable clients remains fundamentally demanding.

Score detail and model IDs
OpenAIgpt-5.6-terra
S192
S291
S392
median92.0
Anthropicclaude-sonnet-5
S177
S278
S378
median78.0
Geminigemini-3.5-flash-lite
S191
S285
S387
median87.0
Consensus
OpenAI
Anthropic
Gemini
18of 20

HVAC Technician

Models aligned · 8.0 spread

HVAC technicians work on diverse, aging, building-specific systems, diagnosing faults and making sometimes hazardous repairs in awkward real-world conditions. AI can improve troubleshooting and planning, but the occupation still requires on-site dexterity, practical judgment, and responsibility for a working, safe result.

Score detail and model IDs
OpenAIgpt-5.6-terra
S187
S284
S388
median87.0
Anthropicclaude-sonnet-5
S182
S278
S385
median82.0
Geminigemini-3.5-flash-lite
S191
S290
S390
median90.0
Consensus
OpenAI
Anthropic
Gemini
19of 20

Mediator

Models aligned · 8.0 spread

Mediators depend on being accepted as a neutral, trusted person while reading emotion, repairing relationships, and guiding negotiations that can shift without warning. AI may help generate options or clarify positions, but parties often need human legitimacy and interpersonal judgment before they will accept a resolution.

Score detail and model IDs
OpenAIgpt-5.6-terra
S187
S286
S389
median87.0
Anthropicclaude-sonnet-5
S184
S280
S380
median80.0
Geminigemini-3.5-flash-lite
S188
S288
S384
median88.0
Consensus
OpenAI
Anthropic
Gemini
20of 20

Special Education Teacher

Models aligned · 7.0 spread

Special education teachers must continually adapt instruction and behavioral support to an individual child, while earning trust from families and exercising professional and ethical judgment. AI can assist with materials and tracking, but it is far less likely to fully replace the responsive human support, classroom presence, and relationship-centered advocacy at the core of the role.

Score detail and model IDs
OpenAIgpt-5.6-terra
S193
S291
S393
median93.0
Anthropicclaude-sonnet-5
S188
S282
S387
median87.0
Geminigemini-3.5-flash-lite
S186
S289
S382
median86.0
Consensus
OpenAI
Anthropic
Gemini

Provider values are three-sample medians. Consensus is the median across the active provider medians.

Calculation protocol

Three samples per model.
One median consensus.

The published provider values are medians across three stateless, full-list scoring calls. The consensus is the median of those provider medians.

Full methodology